Muslim Voters Exceeded Margin of Victory in 86% of Swing Races in Alberta Election

A further four electoral divisions where Muslims were within around 500 votes of the margin of victory include the remaining two divisions won by 5% or less.

Umair Ashraf, Executive Director of TCMV, explained “The Alberta election swung around Calgary, where results show Muslim voters have the numbers to make the difference. We are loudest when we vote, and this election shows when we make our voices heard we can determine who wins and loses. Issues important to Muslim Albertans such as affordability are crucial because our votes are crucial.”

Of the 18 electoral divisions, 17 (94%) were predicted by TCMV in a May 25, 2023 media release to be won by fewer votes than the number of Muslim voters. Of TCMV’s earlier predictions, 16 of the 18 (86%) predictions were correct about electoral divisions called to be won by fewer votes than the number of Muslims.

The 18 electoral divisions where Muslim voters exceed the margin of victory are listed below, including 12 of the 14 divisions won by 5% or less of the vote (in bold):

Muslim voters were within around 500 votes of the margin of victory in a further four electoral divisions, two of which are the remaining divisions won by 5% or less (in bold):

About The Canadian-Muslim Vote:

The Canadian-Muslim Vote was founded in 2015 to mobilize the now almost 900,000 Muslim voters across Canada at all levels of government in a non-partisan manner and is a registered charity with the Canada Revenue Agency. There are over 100,000 Muslim voters in Alberta.